The first session of the Executive Roundtable covered three critical issues: 1) the efficacy endpoints in obesity trials for quality of weight reduction (both body composition and physical function endpoints); 2) the approaches to comparator trial design; and 3) pharmacovigilance and safety considerations for obesity clinical trials.
Background and History
In January 2025, The Lancet Commission on Diagnostic Criteria of Clinical Obesity redefined clinical obesity as a chronic, systemic disease characterized by alterations in tissue or organ function due to excess adiposity, distinct from preclinical obesity, where the excess body fat (adiposity) has not yet altered the function of tissues, organs, and overall systems. For diagnosis, the Commission recommended moving beyond Body Mass Index (BMI) alone (which should only be used as a surrogate measure for health risk) and towards confirming excess adiposity with methods like direct body fat measurement or anthropometric criteria such as waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), or waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). These measures, together with clinical manifestations of obesity such as reduced organ or tissue function or substantial, age-adjusted limitations of daily activities, can be used to diagnosis obesity.
In January 2025, FDA issued its draft guidance Obesity and Overweight: Developing Drugs and Biological Products for Weight Reduction for Industry. In this revision, FDA explicitly recognized obesity as a chronic disease characterized by excess adiposity and noted BMI as a measurement that is a standardized, reproducible, and practical endpoint because of its simplicity and strong correlation with total body fat and historical use in clinical and research settings. FDA urged sponsors to engage regulators early when considering proposing alternative measures for enrollment criteria. Further, the guidance emphasized FDA’s continued reliance on body weight as a clinical endpoint in clinical trials of obesity medications (OMs).
As innovation in the treatment of obesity continued to accelerate globally, the 2025 expanding OM pipeline comprised over 150 clinical-stage assets (including multiple assets in phase 3), spanning more than 60 mechanisms of action, with 43% of all anti-obesity medications (AOM) assets being oral therapies. To meet the needs of patients living with obesity, developers are seeking differentiation through multiple dimensions (including efficacy, tolerability, quality of weight loss, convenience, and durability) as this crowded field matures. For example, the distinction between fat and lean mass loss is of high interest, as this could have an impact on patient outcomes.
Very recently (in 2026), new Standards of Care in the field were released: 1) the 2026 ADA Standards of Care in Obesity and 2) the 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome, which support the use of BMI and additional anthropometric measurements (e.g., WHtR and WC) to diagnose obesity. Not only do these recommendations have potentially significant implications for future treatment guidelines, but they will likely impact obesity management payer coverage decisions as well. In 2024, BMI thresholds were removed from the indication statements in the US Prescribing Information for Wegovy and Saxenda (Novo Nordisk), as well as for Zepbound (Eli Lilly), but the reference to patients with obesity as well as those who are overweight and have comorbidities was retained. This is because modern labels for GLP-1 receptor agonists now focus on the specific clinical benefits for the patient, such as lowered cardiovascular risk.
Standardizing Efficacy Endpoints for Quality of Weight Loss
The authors of this article (hereafter referred to as “the authors”) agreed that traditional weight-reduction metrics (total body weight and BMI) do not fully capture changes in body composition (lean muscle mass versus fat mass), nor do they consider the impact on physical function and overall health, which are clinically important benefits of obesity treatments. The limitations of BMI are extensively documented in scientific literature, including by The Lancet, and to some extent, in the most recent FDA guidance. There was, therefore, broad interest from both industry and academic representatives in assessing ways to measure the quality of weight reduction and body composition both during clinical trials and in clinical practice, with a particular focus on preserving lean muscle mass and establishing standardized methodologies to assess that element, the ultimate goal being to determine whether the quality of weight reduction is a more clinically meaningful endpoint than total weight loss alone. Several clinicians noted that the loss of lean muscle mass might be concerning or harmful especially for older people (a conclusion that underscores why it is necessary to characterize and protect vulnerable subgroups from such effects). The authors agreed that the central challenge lies in establishing a clear threshold at which lean mass loss becomes clinically concerning and what body composition treatment goals should look like. As patients with obesity are heterogenous, we need to consider stratifying patients for participation in clinical trials based on their physical functioning.
Additionally, the authors agreed that direct measurement of physical function at baseline would be more reliable than patient self-reported physical function, especially for the purposes of stratification. Several clinicians recommended focusing on functional measurements as key secondary endpoints for phase 3 clinical trials, especially in patients at risk of sarcopenic obesity. Exploring validated digital health tools for remote monitoring of physical activity and function might address potential barriers.
Roundtable participants also discussed how to incorporate qualitative data through exit interviews to understand patients’ perceptions of changes beyond weight loss, and acknowledged the logistical challenges sites encounter when utilizing resources such as MRI for body composition assessments during staffing shortages. Limited access to MRI machines within a reasonable distance of a patient’s residence can also be a problem in routine clinical practice. According to the FDA 2025 guidance, FDA presently regards lean mass loss as a safety endpoint rather than an efficacy endpoint. Based on the roundtable discussion, it is not appropriate at this time to consider a change in body composition alone (e.g., reduction of fat mass, while preserving lean muscle mass during treatment with an OM) as a potential claim for the management of obesity because there is currently no data to establish whether loss of muscle mass relates to a disease state or a manifestation of a disease, and its relevance as a clinical endpoint is not yet well understood. Additionally, changes in structure or function typically need to be linked to a disease state. Therefore, it is currently challenging to directly label benefits related to quality of weight loss or improved physical function in the absence of a link to a specific disease indication, such as sarcopenic obesity.
The authors agreed that the regulatory pathway for claims related to body composition, lean mass preservation, or muscle function, as well as endpoints required to measure these claims, are not clear at present. In response, participants from FDA confirmed that they were open to discussions on this topic with sponsors, clinical trial participants, and other stakeholders from the patient advocacy community. Data-generation efforts studying the impact of changes in body composition are also essential for advancing obesity research, particularly in gaining more insight into the goals of treating obesity and in refining diagnostic criteria.
The authors agreed that we should continue exploring how to include functional outcomes, such as mobility and muscle strength, in the list of endpoints collected during phase 3 obesity clinical trials because they are meaningful to patients. Furthermore, fit-for-purpose Clinical Outcome Assessments that reflect real-life impact on those with obesity are important for healthcare providers as well. Current tools such as the six-minute walk test and the sit-to-stand test show promise but also have limitations, especially when applied across different BMI patient subgroups. It is important to ensure that clinical trial endpoints are not only meaningful and measurable but are also feasible to implement in routine clinical practice so that the outcomes studied can realistically translate into everyday patient care. The authors also agreed that a measurement may still be an important element to capture, even if it is not subsequently included in the label. Currently, waist circumference is still considered an important measurement, yet it has been removed from the new regulatory guidance due to concerns around high operator variability for the measurement, potentially making it unreliable as a primary endpoint in pivotal clinical trials. For the currently approved OMs, weight loss was used as the primary endpoint, even though its direct correlation to meaningful clinical outcomes (morbidity, mortality, quality of life) can be complex and indirect.
Taking this into account, the authors think that FDA is likely to continue to rely on standard weight loss as a primary endpoint unless a clear link between more complex adiposity measures and disease modification is established. Roundtable participants agreed it would be great to see progress in the field but that this would require science-based evidence for evaluation. The authors encourage industry to conduct and publish research that can advance knowledge in this area and encourage further industry collaborations to qualify or validate one or more endpoints in the future through pooling data from their completed clinical trials. Roundtable participants agreed that it is critical for all stakeholders to align the measurements collected from future phase 3 clinical trials to allow data from various ongoing research to eventually be pooled for group analysis and biomarker validation.
Approaches to Comparator Trial Design, Pharmacovigilance, and Safety
The well-publicized effectiveness of new OMs makes it difficult to enroll and retain patients on placebo for extended periods, especially the mandated one year at the maintenance dose. In addition to potential ethical considerations, these factors are beginning to create significant operational challenges for trial enrollment and conduct. Industry representatives shared that it is no longer practical to enroll 1500 placebo patients for phase 3 trials, a significant concern because of the difficulty of retaining placebo patients in these trials given the widespread availability of OMs today. Several companies shared that this factor also impacts discontinuation rates, and that we need to continuously evaluate the ethical implications of long placebo durations when highly effective treatments are available. Attendees from industry were interested in exploring the possibility of alternative approaches that require a smaller number of patients in placebo arms; this could be achieved by using approaches such as incorporating active controls when exploring the design of future obesity clinical trials.
Participating Principal Investigators at US clinical sites advised that fixed-dose regimens are not ideal due to heterogeneity in patient response and tolerability, so flexible dosing would be ideal to offer to patients who are able and willing to participate in clinical trials. It was also suggested that sponsors offer active treatment post-trial completion as an incentive for recruitment. Roundtable participants argued that strong site-patient relationships and early screening for patient commitment are crucial to reduce dropouts once the clinical trial begins.
According to the FDA 2025 guidance, the sample size in obesity trials is driven by safety, not efficacy. Participants discussed that, for obesity drugs with a long development history such as injectable peptide GLP-1s, there might be some regulatory flexibility in determining the sample size, including placebo. Safety databases for various indications could be shared to potentially decrease the number of placebo patients needed. If active control is utilized, it will be challenging to interpret the safety data. The key is to have a control group that can allow an evaluation of the safety of the drug. The authors understand that it is not yet acceptable to the Agency to remove the need for placebo control at this time. Past and current trials could inform future trial designs, and lead to eventual changes in placebo requirements. The 5% change in weight loss included in the recent FDA guidance revision is based on earlier FDA Advisory Committee input and is linked to known cardiovascular benefits associated with that amount of weight loss. In addition, it is scientifically interesting to explore and understand what any additional weight loss means for the patient in terms of CV benefit. Real-world flexible dosing presents challenges for trial analysis and approval.
The concept of a fixed “maintenance dose” (as described in the draft FDA guidance) also becomes complicated when considering long-term management. Industry representatives shared that there is a growing interest among many sponsors in obtaining a “weight maintenance” indication. However, there is still ambiguity around what constitutes a maintenance dose versus a target dose, creating confusion in trial design and clinical guidance, and whether a weight maintenance indication is linked to clinical benefit. Patient goals can also evolve as they lose weight. They may initially aim for a specific weight goal but then desire further weight reduction later as they achieve their target weight. This is highly individualized for each patient. A treat-to-target concept could also be considered. Maintenance may be better evaluated as extensions to clinical trials, instead of new trials. If maintenance is hard to define, “Time to Treatment failure” as a potential endpoint could be considered.
The authors also suggest reconsidering the term “maintenance.” Because obesity is a chronic disease, “treatment for sustainable weight loss” or “target dose” might be more accurate terms since they are less suggestive of a fixed endpoint. Of note, the “maintenance dose” in a clinical trial is not the same as the “clinical weight maintenance state,” which refers to a sustained weight-reduced state. Even though FDA may not oppose a weight-maintenance indication, the authors discussed that it could be very challenging to obtain for an unapproved drug; however, it might be feasible to pursue that approach for an already approved drug. The key will be to consider how the pivotal trials are designed. Regulatory questions about safety data may arise when patients switch to different drugs or take different doses of the same drug after the initial weight-loss goal has been achieved. For example, switching to a drug with potentially less cardiovascular benefit after initial weight loss with a drug that has a better cardiovascular benefit raises safety concerns that would need careful study in a comparative efficacy trial. Randomized withdrawal design studies can be considered for maintenance. Randomizing patients in the treatment arm after study completion to either standard of care or active treatment for a specific time duration could also be considered. The authors agreed that, as long as the options are there, physicians can find a strategy to meet their patients’ needs.
Master Protocols and Clinical Trial Design
Master protocols offer promise but are complex to operationalize in large heterogeneous populations. Key considerations in this case include ensuring that the selected design ensures efficiency without compromising scientific rigor or data integrity. Also, it is desirable to find overlap in disease duration and onset (e.g., obesity and CKD/HF/MASH) with endpoint timing that aligns across comorbidity subgroups. Finally, the group agreed that it is critical to utilize pre-specified endpoints and preserve blinding across groups.
Based on established precedents, the roundtable participants discussed the potential usefulness of basket and umbrella trial designs for OMs. However, broad inclusion of associated diseases without clear mechanistic links or proof of benefit may present significant challenges for regulators. For example, it is well established that comorbidities such as hypertension are strongly associated with obesity. But sponsors may need to justify the mechanism by which the investigational drug impacts that specific comorbidity in the presence of other comorbid conditions. Although more than 200 comorbidities are associated with obesity, certain conditions—particularly cardiometabolic comorbidities—are likely more plausible and clinically relevant targets for further exploration. Therefore, it is the authors’ opinion that FDA may be open to considering new comorbid conditions if a mechanistic link can be reasonably established. The authors also believe that, even though time to first event is a well-established endpoint, FDA might consider accepting recurring events as a primary endpoint as well. The challenge for the latter is that some patients may have many recurring events which impact the results for the entire study arm. In the analysis of composite endpoints for outcome trials, it appears that FDA currently reviews each individual component of the composite endpoint to evaluate their contribution to the overall treatment effect.
Surrogate endpoints are critical for reducing trial duration but must meet certain evidentiary standards. Validated surrogates are used for traditional approval and surrogates that are “reasonably likely” to predict clinical benefit are used to support accelerated approval, followed by full approval with data from confirmatory trials. Two examples were shared at the roundtable where the FDA accepted Letters of Intent to qualify biomarkers in conditions related to obesity drug development:
- Noninvasive tests (vibration-controlled transient elastography [VCTE], e.g., FibroScan) for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis [MASH]: diagnostic biomarker to enrich and to identify patients likely to have histopathologic findings of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH): DDT-BMQ-000084.
- Noncalcified plaque in cardiovascular outcomes. Coronary artery noncalcified plaque volume (NCPV) for detection and quantification of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease: DDT-BMQ-000161.
The authors recommend that the obesity stakeholder community take a sequential approach to validating biomarkers, given that establishing biomarkers as a surrogate endpoint can be a high evidentiary bar. First, an endpoint can be used as a diagnostic or prognostic biomarker in clinical trials while data is being accumulated. Once enough data has been collected to confirm that the proposed surrogate is reasonably likely to demonstrate clinical benefit, then it can be applied as an endpoint in a clinical trial. In this case, it would be important to specify the applicable context of use.
The authors agreed that industry should continue to invest in developing and validating novel surrogate endpoints, especially those linked to real-world functional outcomes. The authors acknowledged the benefit of composite endpoints or coprimary endpoints since they can capture nuanced benefits and evaluate patient-centered outcomes like improvements in mobility, sleep, and daily function.
Next Steps
The power of collaboration between industry, academia, and regulators, together with patients and patient advocacy organizations, will be more important than ever in the obesity drug development arena. Among the key recommendations from the DIA Executive Roundtable was the proposal that DIA take the lead to form a public-private partnership consortium with industry, academia, regulators, other nonprofit organizations, clinicians, and patients in the obesity space to assess comorbidities more efficiently and develop an evidence-generation strategy on endpoints to measure quality of weight loss, including measures of body composition and measures of physical functions. Additional recommendations emphasized that trial design must balance multiple factors such as flexibility, patient retention, and regulatory rigor.
The DIA Obesity Consortium is working diligently to discuss the best strategy for improving the efficiency of future phase 3 clinical trials for OM development. Ensuring that similar endpoints are collected across clinical trials could allow future meta-analysis across companies and bring about biomarker validation, faster regulatory approvals, and eventually global harmonization of requirements across various regulatory agencies. DIA also organized a meeting with European Regulators and stakeholders in Rotterdam on March 23, 2026, before the start of the 2026 DIA Europe Annual Meeting. Furthermore, the results and recommendations of the consortium work were also presented during the 2026 DIA China Annual Meeting in Shanghai and 2026 DIA Global Annual Meeting in Philadelphia, PA (US).
Acknowledgements:
DIA thanks the following FDA experts and leaders for their participation in the April 2025 Executive Roundtable on Obesity Drug Development: Charu Gandotra, Mark Reitman, Yun Wang, Aliza Thompson, Jeffrey Siegel, and Yoonhee Kim.